Memphis
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 77.6958Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Chattanooga 45-10 906 A Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 38-16 913 A Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 28- 7 920 H Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 32-31 927 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 55-26 1004 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 45- 7 1018 A UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 24-31 1025 H So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 34-31 1031 A Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 38-14 1107 H Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 32-38 1115 A Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 27-31 1127 H Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 17-28 1219 N NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 7-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Georgia St 38-16 22 13 0.96
913 A Troy 28- 7 21 1 +++ 13.16
920 H Arkansas 32-31 1 5 - -3.89
927 A Fla Atlantic 55-26 29 2 +++ 11.80
1004 H Tulsa 45- 7 38 15 0.00
1018 A UAB 24-31 -7 4 --- -11.20
1025 H So Florida 34-31 3 -2 ++ 4.76
1031 A Rice 38-14 24 4 +++ 10.38
1107 H Tulane 32-38 -6 1 --- -6.94
1115 A Ea Carolina 27-31 -4 -9 ++ 4.85
1127 H Navy 17-28 -11 4 --- -15.16
1219 N NC St 7-31 -24 -5 --- -8.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A UAB 24-31 -7 4 --- -11.20 1107 H Tulane 32-38 -6 1 --- -6.94 1127 H Navy 17-28 -11 4 --- -15.16 1219 N NC St 7-31 -24 -5 --- -8.72 920 H Arkansas 32-31 1 5 - -3.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Troy 28- 7 21 1 +++ 13.16 927 A Fla Atlantic 55-26 29 2 +++ 11.80 1031 A Rice 38-14 24 4 +++ 10.38 1025 H So Florida 34-31 3 -2 ++ 4.76 1115 A Ea Carolina 27-31 -4 -9 ++ 4.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia St ( 1-11, 59.4) 38-16 -40.50 10.71 5.26 1.06 33.95
3 A Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 28- 7 -28.31 22.91 5.26 1.06 59.87
3 H Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 32-31 -21.84 29.38 -5.26 1.06 51.26
3 A Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 55-26 -29.66 21.56 5.26 1.06 56.99
3 H Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 45- 7 -32.29 18.93 -5.26 1.06 29.05
3 A UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 24-31 -31.66 19.56 5.26 1.06 -14.03
3 H So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 34-31 -15.18 36.04 -5.26 1.06 65.40
3 A Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 38-14 -31.09 20.13 5.26 1.06 53.96
3 H Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 32-38 -17.89 33.33 -5.26 1.06 -12.30
3 A Ea Carolina ( 9- 4, 81.3) 27-31 -18.61 32.61 5.26 1.06 -7.09
3 H Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 17-28 -21.10 30.12 -5.26 1.06 -14.00
3 N NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 7-31 -16.92 34.30 -0.00 1.06 -8.99
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294.07
|
winning pts = 350.4792 losing points = -56.4125
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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